Even more storms on the way

Tom Defty

Tom Defty

First published in News by

SCHOOLS were damaged, houses flooded and sodden and broken- down cars abandoned under bridges, as two months of rain fell in 90 minutes at the weekend.

A few days on, the clean-up is still under way on Canvey, with the library shut and schools and residents counting the cost.

It’s the second time in less than a year south Essex has suffered badly from flash floods. Last August, roads resembled rivers as torrential rainfall caused severe flooding.

And here’s the really bad news: Tom Defty, of the Essex Weather Centre, is warning we can only expect more of the same, thanks to global warming – a phenomenon he says can no longer be denied.

Mr Defty said: “When you realise two months of rain fell on Canvey in 90minutes, it’s no wonder it flooded so quickly.

“Exactly the same thing happened last August. People keep asking me ‘why does this keep happening to us?’. It’s a strange one.

“Sea temperatures are a lot higher and this is something that may happen more in future, thanks to climate change. It is now 95 per cent certain we’re seeing the effects of climate change. It’s no longer some far off issue. It’s happening.

“When sea temperatures rise, as they are at the moment, we get a lot more snow in the winter and a lot more moisture in the summer which causes thunderstorms.

“The effect of the Thames Estuary means Essex is seeing a lot of thunderstorms, as it prevents storms from moving on, and keeps them in one area for a much longer period.

“That’s what happened on Sunday. It’s why Canvey, Southend and up to Battlesbridge got so much of it.”

The reason for this, says Mr Defty, is that estuary is fed with cold rainwater which falls inland. As it hits warmer estuary water near Canvey, it makes the air moister and keeps any storms produced over the surrounding area for longer.

Mr Defty said this meant we could expect even more storms –maybe as soon as this August, if we have another warm month. He added: “The temperature this week is going to continue to rise and build again.

“We will see thunderstorms hit us again this weekend, but they won’t be like what we saw last weekend.

“As we go through August the forecast is pretty good, certainly above average temperatures again. It wouldn’t surprise me if we get more thunderstorms next month and more rain.”

As well as the torrential downpour, lightning has been more frequent in recent weeks.

Again, this is down to rising temperatures.

Last Friday night, Essex witnessed a “super lightning storm” – several storms happening all at once.

Mr Defty said while more thunder and lightning was to be expected it was unlikely we would see a storm of that magnitude again this summer.

He explained: “What we witnessed on Friday is rare.

“It only happens every five to ten years in Essex.

“I know a lot of people have been saying there’s been one every day. Lightning storms have been happening frequently at the moment but these are not the same thing. I would think we’ll be very unlikely to see another of those any time soon.”

Comments (13)

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10:04am Sat 26 Jul 14

Howard Cháse says...

I blame UKIP. Hardly had storms of this intensity before they took so many council seats in the district
I blame UKIP. Hardly had storms of this intensity before they took so many council seats in the district Howard Cháse
  • Score: 9

11:41am Sat 26 Jul 14

The Macduffian says...

You read it here first, the end is nigh, just come back in from seeing a gritter on the road, just being overhauled of course, but you can never tell with this global warming
You read it here first, the end is nigh, just come back in from seeing a gritter on the road, just being overhauled of course, but you can never tell with this global warming The Macduffian
  • Score: 4

2:44pm Sat 26 Jul 14

Nelly99 says...

I feel it in my fingers
I feel it in my toes.
The rain is coming
I hope it doesn't snows.

Who is this Tom Defty? Is he Man at C& A or the man from the MET. And since when was rain measured in months? " Two months rain fell in 12 hours". Which two months was that? January and February? Surely rain should be measured in pints not inches! Nine inches of rain is nothing spread over 4 miles. Nine inches down your shorts is uncomfortable and inconvenient. I expect my rain to be measured in olympic sized swimming pools, football pitches or possibly buckets! Right...the cones on my windowledge say it is going to rain at about 5.30.p.m. Don't say I didn't warn you.
I feel it in my fingers I feel it in my toes. The rain is coming I hope it doesn't snows. Who is this Tom Defty? Is he Man at C& A or the man from the MET. And since when was rain measured in months? " Two months rain fell in 12 hours". Which two months was that? January and February? Surely rain should be measured in pints not inches! Nine inches of rain is nothing spread over 4 miles. Nine inches down your shorts is uncomfortable and inconvenient. I expect my rain to be measured in olympic sized swimming pools, football pitches or possibly buckets! Right...the cones on my windowledge say it is going to rain at about 5.30.p.m. Don't say I didn't warn you. Nelly99
  • Score: 5

3:13pm Sat 26 Jul 14

alsopuzzled says...

The most worrying comment here is:

Tom Defty, of the Essex Weather Centre, is warning we can only expect more of the same, thanks to global warming – a phenomenon he says can no longer be denied.

In fact many other scientists do deny it, especially if their livelihood does not rely on that particular myth being true
The most worrying comment here is: Tom Defty, of the Essex Weather Centre, is warning we can only expect more of the same, thanks to global warming – a phenomenon he says can no longer be denied. In fact many other scientists do deny it, especially if their livelihood does not rely on that particular myth being true alsopuzzled
  • Score: 7

3:28pm Sat 26 Jul 14

ShipShape says...

Poor Mr Defty.
That is one terrible picture- It makes him look like one of the Wonga Ad puppets.
Poor Mr Defty. That is one terrible picture- It makes him look like one of the Wonga Ad puppets. ShipShape
  • Score: 4

4:18pm Sat 26 Jul 14

Robin Reliant says...

ShipShape wrote:
Poor Mr Defty.
That is one terrible picture- It makes him look like one of the Wonga Ad puppets.
Its a selfie, the camera is balanced on his left foot, but he captured the blue sky perfectly.
[quote][p][bold]ShipShape[/bold] wrote: Poor Mr Defty. That is one terrible picture- It makes him look like one of the Wonga Ad puppets.[/p][/quote]Its a selfie, the camera is balanced on his left foot, but he captured the blue sky perfectly. Robin Reliant
  • Score: 4

4:40pm Sat 26 Jul 14

billericay boy says...

Bring back Cfc's open up the ozone hole and let the planet breath again problem solved,
Bring back Cfc's open up the ozone hole and let the planet breath again problem solved, billericay boy
  • Score: 8

5:19pm Sat 26 Jul 14

Bangemup says...

Tom Defty you need to do some research or get another job , The sea temperatures have not risen at all , Global warming is for the most part a huge money spinning lie . Scientists working on the most authoritative study on climate change were urged to cover up the fact that the world’s temperature hasn’t risen for the last 15 years, it is claimed.
A leaked copy of a United Nations report, compiled by hundreds of scientists, shows politicians in Belgium, Germany, Hungary and the United States raised concerns about the final draft.
Published next week, it is expected to address the fact that 1998 was the hottest year on record and world temperatures have not yet exceeded it, which scientists have so far struggled to explain.
The report is the result of six years’ work by UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which is seen as the world authority on the extent of climate change and what is causing it – on which governments including Britain’s base their green policies. Having the evacuation pumps running when it rains may well help , they were off for two hours last time it flooded !
Tom Defty you need to do some research or get another job , The sea temperatures have not risen at all , Global warming is for the most part a huge money spinning lie . Scientists working on the most authoritative study on climate change were urged to cover up the fact that the world’s temperature hasn’t risen for the last 15 years, it is claimed. A leaked copy of a United Nations report, compiled by hundreds of scientists, shows politicians in Belgium, Germany, Hungary and the United States raised concerns about the final draft. Published next week, it is expected to address the fact that 1998 was the hottest year on record and world temperatures have not yet exceeded it, which scientists have so far struggled to explain. The report is the result of six years’ work by UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which is seen as the world authority on the extent of climate change and what is causing it – on which governments including Britain’s base their green policies. Having the evacuation pumps running when it rains may well help , they were off for two hours last time it flooded ! Bangemup
  • Score: 12

5:21pm Sat 26 Jul 14

John Bull 40 says...

Another "expert" Mr Dafty at least his name fits him, he is 95% certain we are seeing the effects of climate change. I am 100% s certain we will see more rain before the month is out, can I call myself an expert now.
Another "expert" Mr Dafty at least his name fits him, he is 95% certain we are seeing the effects of climate change. I am 100% s certain we will see more rain before the month is out, can I call myself an expert now. John Bull 40
  • Score: 8

8:55pm Sat 26 Jul 14

Old Southendian says...

Essex weather centre sounds impressive. Tom Defty's worth a Goggle!
Essex weather centre sounds impressive. Tom Defty's worth a Goggle! Old Southendian
  • Score: 2

9:02pm Sat 26 Jul 14

Robin Reliant says...

Old Southendian wrote:
Essex weather centre sounds impressive. Tom Defty's worth a Goggle!
Your right, and all started with a 100k TV competition win! impressive website and if that is the head office on the home page it looks top notch.
[quote][p][bold]Old Southendian[/bold] wrote: Essex weather centre sounds impressive. Tom Defty's worth a Goggle![/p][/quote]Your right, and all started with a 100k TV competition win! impressive website and if that is the head office on the home page it looks top notch. Robin Reliant
  • Score: 1

4:34pm Sun 27 Jul 14

Parsnip says...

Well if he thinks it's because of undeniable global warming then I don't take him seriously at all
Well if he thinks it's because of undeniable global warming then I don't take him seriously at all Parsnip
  • Score: 5

5:04pm Sun 27 Jul 14

Gary_Williamson says...

global warming? thats BS... how about natural weather cycles....
global warming? thats BS... how about natural weather cycles.... Gary_Williamson
  • Score: 4

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