WITH families and friends soon able to meet in gardens in groups of up to six, it may be helpful to know the probability of south Essex seeing a spike in Covid cases.

Under the Government's roadmap, groups of up to six or two households can meet socially distanced in private gardens from Monday.

And the Imperial College London's interactive map has revealed the areas of south Essex likely to see a spike in Covid cases.

The following list ranks the areas in probability of seeing more than 100 cases per week by April 4:

  • Southend - 0 per cent
  • Basildon - 0 per cent
  • Brentwood - 0 per cent
  • Rochford - 1 per cent
  • Thurrock - 2 per cent
  • Castle Point - 4 per cent

Read more:

> Road map out of lockdown: What's reopening in Southend and when?

> Parkdean Resorts reveals details on reopening plans for Essex sites

However the probability changes when analysing the chances of each area seeing more than 50 cases per week by the same date:

  • Basildon - 2 per cent
  • Southend - 6 per cent
  • Brentwood - 6 per cent
  • Rochford - 12 per cent
  • Thurrock - 19 per cent
  • Castle Point - 21 per cent