Lockdown has helped much of the country stem the coronavirus tide - and parts of south Essex are starting to see real drops in case numbers. 

The reproduction number, or R value, of coronavirus transmission is falling across the UK and may potentially be below 1, according to scientists.

The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), which advises the Government, said on Friday the R for the UK as a whole is between 0.9 and 1. Its current prediction represents the situation over the last few weeks.


R represents the average number of people each Covid-19 positive person goes on to infect.

When the figure is above 1, the Covid-19 epidemic will continue to grow but if it is below 1, it shows the outbreak is in retreat.

Echo: The colour-coded picture across south EssexThe colour-coded picture across south Essex

Last week, the R number was said to be between 1 and 1.1.

Here are the areas of south Essex which have seen significant a week-on-week drop in the number of new confirmed cases of coronavirus. 

The numbers are for the seven days to November 23, the most recent figures available.

The 'rolling rate' refers to the number of new cases per 100,000 population.


Total cases 12  (-25.0%)

Rolling rate 171.8

Billericay Central & Sunnymed

Total cases 7 (-61.1%)

Rolling rate 86.6

Laindon East & Lee Chapel North

Total cases 14 (-30.0%)

Rolling rate 165.2

Langdon Hills

12 (-52.0%)

Rolling rate 130.1

Canvey Island North West

Total cases 13 (-53.6%)

Rolling rate 152.0

Canvey Island South West

Total cases 13 (-23.5%)

Rolling rate 155.8

Canvey Island Newlands

Total cases 8 (-38.5%)

Rolling rate 117.1

Rayleigh North West

Total cases 7 (-22.2%)

Rolling rate 76.0

Rayleigh North East

Total cases 9 (-43.8%)

Rolling rate 109.0


Total cases 4 (-71.4%)

Rolling rate 61.0

Hockley & Hawkwell West

Total cases 27 (-27.0%)

Rolling rate 168.7


Total cases 15 (-16.7%)

Rolling rate 155.8

West Leigh

Total cases 4 (-60.0%)

Rolling rate 42.4


Total cases 8 (-66.7%)

Rolling rate 76.4

Blenheim Park

Total cases 10 (-47.4%)

Rolling rate 89.8


Total cases 13 (-40.9%)

Rolling rate 124.4

St Lukes

Total cases 12 (-45.5%)

Rolling rate 106.0


Total cases 12 (-50.0%)

Rolling rate 97.2

Thorpe Bay

Total cases 6 (-70.0%)

Rolling rate 64.7

West Shoebury

Total cases 6 (-60.0%)

Rolling rate 57.0


Total cases 9 (-30.8%)

Rolling rate 75.0